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Messages - MSG

2
Politics and Current Events / Re: Macron


Caption competition
"Jesus Donald, get some bran in your diet.."
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I'd reckon a voyage across the Sumba Strait, or the Red Sea, would need something more robust than a few logs strung together
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I wouldn't say it has wide acceptance, although it is a possible route. There's little evidence for use of boats, especially marine voyages, before the advent of anatomically modern humans.

On the other hand, the consensus seems to be Homo floresiensis is descended from H erectus, and it definitely needed a sea crossing to reach Flores.
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He seems quite nice for an Argentinian too
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To be fair it is a low base
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Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad


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Once more the western 'anti-war' movement has awoken to mobilise around Syria. This is the third time since 2011. The first was when Obama contemplated striking the Syrian regime's military capability (but didn't) following chemical attacks on the Ghouta in 2013, considered a 'red line'. The second time was when Donald Trump ordered a strike which hit an empty regime military base in response to chemical attacks on Khan Sheikhoun in 2017. And today, as the US, UK and France take limited military action (targeted strikes on regime military assets and chemical weapons facilities) following a chemical weapons attack in Douma which killed at least 34 people, including many children who were sheltering in basements from bombing.

The first thing to note from the three major mobilisations of the western 'anti-war' left is that they have little to do with ending the war. More than half a million Syrians have been killed since 2011. The vast majority of civilian deaths have been through the use of conventional weapons and 94 per cent of these victims were killed by the Syrian-Russian-Iranian alliance. There is no outrage or concern feigned for this war, which followed the regime's brutal crackdown on peaceful, pro-democracy demonstrators. There's no outrage when barrel bombs, chemical weapons and napalm are dropped on democratically self-organized communities or target hospitals and rescue workers. Civilians are expendable; the military capabilities of a genocidal, fascist regime are not. In fact the slogan 'Hands off Syria' really means 'Hands off Assad' and support is often given for Russia's military intervention. This was evident yesterday at a demonstration organized by Stop the War UK where a number of regime and Russian flags were shamefully on display.

This left exhibits deeply authoritarian tendencies, one that places states themselves at the centre of political analysis. Solidarity is therefore extended to states (seen as the main actor in a struggle for liberation) rather than oppressed or underprivileged groups in any given society, no matter that state's tyranny. Blind to the social war occurring within Syria itself, the Syrian people (where they exist) are viewed as mere pawns in a geo-political chess game. They repeat the mantra 'Assad is the legitimate ruler of a sovereign country'. Assad - who inherited a dictatorship from his father and has never held, let alone won, a free and fair election. Assad - whose 'Syrian Arab Army' can only regain the territory it lost with the backing of a hotchpotch of foreign mercenaries and supported by foreign bombs, and who are fighting, by and large, Syrian-born rebels and civilians. How many would consider their own elected government legitimate if it began carrying out mass rape campaigns against dissidents? It's only the complete dehumanization of Syrians that makes such a position even possible. It's a racism that sees Syrians as incapable of achieving, let alone deserving, anything better than one of the most brutal dictatorships of our time.

For this authoritarian left, support is extended to the Assad regime in the name of 'anti-imperialism'. Assad is seen as part of the 'axis of resistance' against both US Empire and Zionism.  It matters little that the Assad regime itself supported the first Gulf war, or participated in the US illegal rendition programme where suspected terrorists were tortured in Syria on the CIA's behalf. The fact that this regime probably holds the dubious distinction of slaughtering more Palestinians than the Israeli state is constantly overlooked, as is the fact that it's more intent on using its armed forces to suppress internal dissent than to liberate the Israeli-occupied Golan.

This 'anti-imperialism' of idiots is one which equates imperialism with the actions of the US alone. They seem unaware that the US has been bombing Syria since 2014. In its campaign to liberate Raqqa from Daesh all international norms of war and considerations of proportionality were abandoned. Over 1,000 civilians were killed and the UN estimates that 80 per cent of the city is now uninhabitable. There were no protests organized by leading 'anti-war' organizations against this intervention, no calls to ensure that civilians and civilian infrastructure were protected. Instead they adopted the 'War on Terror' discourse, once the preserve of neo-cons, now promulgated by the regime, that all opposition to Assad are jihadi terrorists. They turned a blind eye to Assad filling his gulag with thousands of secular, peaceful, pro-democracy demonstrators for death by torture, whilst releasing militant-Islamists from prison. Similarly, the continuing protests held in liberated areas in opposition to extremist and authoritarian groups such as Daesh, Nusra and Ahrar Al Sham have been ignored. Syrians are not seen as possessing the sophistication to hold a diverse range of views. Civil society activists (including many amazing women), citizen journalists, humanitarian workers are irrelevant. The entire opposition is reduced to its most authoritarian elements or seen as mere conduits for foreign interests.

This pro-fascist left seems blind to any form of imperialism that is non-western in origin. It combines identity politics with egoism. Everything that happens is viewed through the prism of what it means for westerners - only white men have the power to make history. According to the Pentagon there are currently around 2000 American troops in Syria. The US has established a number of military bases in the Kurdish-controlled north for the first time in Syria's history. This should concern anyone who supports Syrian self-determination yet pales in comparison to the tens of thousands of Iranian troops and Iranian backed Shia militias which are now occupying large parts of the country, or the murderous bombing raids carried out by the Russian air force in support of the fascist dictatorship. Russia has now established permanent military bases in the country, and has been handed exclusive rights over Syria's oil and gas as a reward for its support. Noam Chomsky once argued that Russia's intervention could not be considered imperialism because it was invited to bomb the country by the Syrian regime. By that analysis, the US's intervention in Vietnam was not imperialism either, invited as it was by the South-Vietnamese government.

A number of anti-war organizations have justified their silence on Russian and Iranian interventions by arguing that 'the main enemy is at home'. This excuses them from undertaking any serious power analysis to determine who the main actors driving the war actually are. For Syrians the main enemy is indeed at home - it's Assad who is engaging in what the UN has termed 'the crime of extermination'. Without being aware of their own contradictions many of the same voices have been vocally opposed (and rightly so) to Israel's current assault on peaceful demonstrators in Gaza. Of course, one of the main ways imperialism works is to deny native voices. In this vein, leading western anti-war organizations hold conferences on Syria without inviting any Syrian speakers.

The other major political trend to have thrown its weight behind the Assad regime and organize against US, UK and French strikes on Syria is the far right. Today, the discourse of fascists and these 'anti-imperialist leftists' is virtually indistinguishable. In the US, white supremacist Richard Spencer, alt right podcaster Mike Enoch and anti-immigration activist Ann Coulter are all opposing US strikes. In the UK former BNP leader Nick Griffin and Islamophobe Katie Hopkins join the calls. The place where the alt-right and alt-left frequently converge is around promoting various conspiracy theories to absolve the regime of its crimes. They claim chemical massacres are false flags or that rescue workers are Al Qaeda and therefore legitimate targets for attack. Those spreading such reports are not on the ground in Syria and are unable to independently verify their claims. They are often dependent on Russian or Assad state propaganda outlets because they 'don't trust the MSM' or Syrians directly affected. Sometimes the convergence of these two seemingly opposite strands of the political spectrum turns into outright collaboration. The ANSWER coalition, which is organizing many of the demonstrations against a strike on Assad in the US, has such a history. Both strands frequently promote Islamophobic and anti-Semitic narratives. Both share the same talking points and same memes.

There are many valid reasons for opposing external military intervention in Syria, whether it be by the US, Russia, Iran or Turkey. None of these states are acting in the interests of the Syrian people, democracy or human rights. They act solely in their own interests. The US, UK and French intervention today is less about protecting Syrians from mass-atrocity and more about enforcing an international norm that chemical weapons use is unacceptable, lest one day they be used on westerners themselves. More foreign bombs will not bring about peace and stability. There's little appetite to force Assad from power which would contribute to ending the worst of the atrocities.  Yet in opposing foreign intervention, one needs to come up with an alternative to protect Syrians from slaughter. It's morally objectionable to say the least to expect Syrians to just shut up and die to protect the higher principle of 'anti-imperialism'. Many alternatives to foreign military intervention have been proposed by Syrians time and again and have been ignored. And so the question remains, when diplomatic options have failed, when a genocidal regime is protected from censure by powerful international backers, when no progress is made in stopping daily bombing, ending starvation sieges or releasing prisoners who are being tortured on an industrial scale, what can be done.

I no longer have an answer. I've consistently opposed all foreign military intervention in Syria, supported Syrian led process to rid their country of a tyrant and international processes grounded in efforts to protect civilians and human rights and ensure accountability for all actors responsible for war-crimes. A negotiated settlement is the only way to end this war - and still seems as distant as ever. Assad (and his backers) are determined to thwart any process, pursue a total military victory and crush any remaining democratic alternative. Hundreds of Syrians are being killed every week in the most barbaric ways imaginable. Extremist groups and ideologies are thriving in the chaos wrought by the state. Civilians continue to flee in their thousands as legal processes - such as Law No.10 - are implemented to ensure they will never return to their homes. The international system itself is collapsing under the weight of its own impotence. The words 'Never Again' ring hollow. There's no major people's movement which stands in solidarity with the victims. They are instead slandered, their suffering is mocked or denied, and their voices either absent from discussions or questioned by people far away, who know nothing of Syria, revolution or war, and who arrogantly believe they know what is best. It is this desperate situation which causes many Syrians to welcome the US, UK and France's action and who now see foreign intervention as their only hope, despite the risks they know it entails.

One thing is for sure - I won't lose any sleep over targeted strikes aimed at regime military bases and chemical weapons plants which may provide Syrians with a short respite from the daily killing. And I will never see people who place grand narratives over lived realities, who support brutal regimes in far off countries, or who peddle racism, conspiracy theories and atrocity denial, as allies.
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Politics and Current Events / Re: Trumpocalypse
https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/michael-cohen-and-the-end-stage-of-the-trump-presidency/amp
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Of course Trump is raging and furious and terrified. Prosecutors are now looking at his core. Cohen was the key intermediary between the Trump family and its partners around the world; he was chief consigliere and dealmaker throughout its period of expansion into global partnerships with sketchy oligarchs. He wasn't a slick politico who showed up for a few months. He knows everything, he recorded much of it, and now prosecutors will know it, too. It seems inevitable that much will be made public. We don't know when. We don't know the precise path the next few months will take. There will be resistance and denial and counterattacks. But it seems likely that, when we look back on this week, we will see it as a turning point. We are now in the end stages of the Trump Presidency.
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Jesus Christ, it's just giving a boost to your stomach microflora; stop worrying
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Politics and Current Events / Re: hooray
Sure she didn't post that article 10 days late?
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Politics and Current Events / Re: Facebook
The point is Myspace and Google Plus don't in any meaningful sense represent competition to Facebook
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Politics and Current Events / Re: Facebook
FB is right. They aren't a monopoly. They are hegemonic though. Google plus is pretty similar and don't forget that Myspace was the original Facebook type app and is still around. 
Economists define a monopoly as an organisation having overwhelming market power. From memory the measure is over 80%. Those other platforms might aim to  offer similar functionality but they are inconsequential in a competitive sense.
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Interesting read https://blog.harvardlawreview.org/facebook-cambridge-analytica-and-the-regulators-dilemma-clueless-or-venal/

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All of this leads back to the question whether Facebook is a venal company that warrants especially harsh treatment from regulators. Facebook now has three strikes against it: Beacon, the privacy modifications it made in 2009 to force private user information public, and now the Kogan/Cambridge Analytica revelation. Facebook can't claim to be clueless about how this happened. The FTC consent decree put Facebook on notice. All of Facebook's actions were calculated and deliberate, integral to the company's business model, and at odds with the company's claims about privacy and its corporate values. So many of the signs of venality are present.
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so a Minneapolis policeman who shot an woman after she had called the police to report a possible rape or assault in an alley behind her house has been charged with third-degree murder and second-degree manslaughter http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-03-21/justine-damond-minneapolis-officer-charged-in-shooting/9569918

this seems objectively to be the right outcome based on the circumstances but one can't but observe that she was an attractive blonde white Australian woman and he is a black Muslim immigrant of Somali origin
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as much a political process as a legal one
as much? it's entirely a political process.
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Science / Re: Status of disease eradication programs
Back in the 70s a guy used to visit our farm whose father was in an iron lung
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Politics and Current Events / Re: Austin bombings
I'm not going to defend media double standards re: reporting on murderers and victims but that one is a bit cherry picky.
agreed
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Trump and his cronies think protests achieve nothing but make middle class liberals feel good about themselves. They're probably right, too.
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not really perfect for this thread but I didn't want to start a new one and it is pretty interesting
https://newsroom.fb.com/news/2018/03/suspending-cambridge-analytica/
this got posted in Alan Fox's thread but needs to be read in the context of this thread and post https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/mar/17/data-war-whistleblower-christopher-wylie-faceook-nix-bannon-trump
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The problem with Nix's response to Collins is that Wylie has a copy of an executed contract, dated 4 June 2014, which confirms that SCL, the parent company of Cambridge Analytica, entered into a commercial arrangement with a company called Global Science Research (GSR), owned by Cambridge-based academic Aleksandr Kogan, specifically premised on the harvesting and processing of Facebook data, so that it could be matched to personality traits and voter rolls.
eta if you only read one long read this weekend etc
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The Australian minister who heads our equivalent of ICE has been dog-whistling about bringing oppressed white farmers from South Africa to Australia. Considering how he and his government deal with non-white refugees (indefinite detention in offshore island hell-holes), this is, um, incongruous. This article by an Australian who now lives in Portland, Oregon and has written about US alt-right movements, gives an interesting perspective on the story https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/16/peter-duttons-offer-to-white-south-african-farmers-started-on-the-far-right

 
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Marcus had connected the situation to a broader picture of what she described as "reverse racism", writing that "the truth is, there are versions of this anti-white, vengeance theme swirling in movements around the western world, from Black Lives Matter in the US to Invasion Day protests back home".

By emphasising white kinship and white peril, the paper's columnists may have gotten the result they were looking for. But they weren't the only outlet on 12 March to urge their government to help the farmers.

The same day, on American "race realist" website, VDare, Leo Hohmann, the author of a recent book on the supposed "stealth invasion" of the west by Muslim immigrants, was saying that the farmers have "their collective heads on the block".
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http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/01/29/americas-military-is-choking-on-old-technology/

interesting article although in many ways the argument isn't new; the limits of what can be achieved with enormous standing armies and overwhelming firepower have been evident as far back as the Vietnam War, and only reinforced in Afghanistan and the Gulf

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The current rate of technological change may make many current U.S. military systems obsolete in the coming decades. Advances in artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, material science, and nanotechnology threaten to produce qualitative -- not just incremental -- change in the conduct of warfare in the near future. Although the U.S. has spent far more on standing military forces than other countries, for far longer, this accumulated advantage is also a vulnerability. It presents an opportunity for Washington's international adversaries and competitors to reap the advantage of their backwardness and leapfrog the U.S. with emerging technology. This is exacerbated by the Pentagon's commitment to significant investment in existing systems, the proverbial "last year's model."