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Topic: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated) (Read 764 times) previous topic - next topic

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  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #25
Yeah that too, just for added excitement. I hope anyone who stayed is significantly above sea level.
Truth is out of style

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #26
My BIL's House is at 28 ft above sea level a couple blocks from the intercoastal at the Eau Gallie river (or however it's spelled). He didn't leave because his truck is in the shop. I'm like, what about Uber? He couldn't make it happen though. My 14 yr old nephew is with him. The storm surge and ocean waves will be lessened by the barrier island but still.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #27
He does live in a masonry house and has roof tie-downs, with the only big trees to the west so he should be ok if the surge doesn't get to him.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #28
high tide is going to coincide with landfall in melbourne.

Really, I thought low tide was like 7:30 am


Yeah that too, just for added excitement. I hope anyone who stayed is significantly above sea level.
There is no "significantly above sea level" in central Floriida.

The barrier islands are fucked if the storm surge predictions come true, but Melbourne should be mostly spared... thanks to the barrier islands.  As I said above ALL of my friends that live in the beach towns got out.


  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #29
I meant "significantly" in relation to the surge. IOW, at least 20 feet above high tide.

And yes, the barrier islands are fucked. Anyone who stayed there is angling for a Darwin Award.
Truth is out of style

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #30
high tide is going to coincide with landfall in melbourne.

Really, I thought low tide was like 7:30 am


Yeah that too, just for added excitement. I hope anyone who stayed is significantly above sea level.
There is no "significantly above sea level" in central Floriida.

The barrier islands are fucked if the storm surge predictions come true, but Melbourne should be mostly spared... thanks to the barrier islands.  As I said above ALL of my friends that live in the beach towns got out.


Dunno. The weather channel just said that. I'm thinking he's probably alright but it's still pretty worrisome.
Oh. I see. They said landfall will be in a couple hours.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #31
Truth is out of style

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #32
looks like it's tracking somewhat further east now.  Maybe the eye doesn't make landfall near Jupiter or Melbourne.  Still gonna be brutal winds, but that's good news for us.

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #33
yeah. My fingers are crossed but right now it looks like good news.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #34
lol. I'm so ashamed. I took out my stress by bitching at someone on ratskep for being a stupid ass atheist. I'm going to try to do some work or something.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #35
looks like Melbourne will be spared to some extent.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #36
Latest seems to be saying the eye is heading straight for Cape Canaveral.
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  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #37
Actually this is quite shitty. http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap.aspx?location=USFL0302


ETA: What I mean is the wall of the eye appears to be heading straight over the top of Melbourne. See comment 139 here - https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/matthew-toys-with-florida-coast-major-surge-threat-remains

At least it's only Cat 3 now.
  • Last Edit: October 07, 2016, 12:38:20 AM by osmanthus
Truth is out of style

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #38
as long as the eye stays offshore, it's all good.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #39
It's not much stronger now than Wilma was when that crossed the coast, so even if the eye does come in it may not be too bad (relatively). Still going to be pretty wild though.
Truth is out of style

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #40
tide's out til noon and the winds will be from the west by then in Melbourne. Ksen's gonna live guys.
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #41
Just saw on facebook, friends in Jupiter say they are going to crash the party at vanilla ice's??
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #42
Tell them to get some looting in before the evacuees come home.
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  • MikeS
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #43
high tide is going to coincide with landfall in melbourne.
Looks like it's staying off shore.  The hurricane force winds are now 10 miles off shore, but all it takes is a jog of the eye and the eye-wall winds end up on shore.

Once past Melbourne the next landfall threat really isn't until Savannah, GA; but the entire coast from Daytona to Savannah will see a high tide of 10+ feet above normal.

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #44
2 of my friends who live beachside have made it back to their houses, no major damage, but power is still out.  Maybe half the people inland have power,, and half don't.  Nobody has reported major damage.  Some small trees down, a couple damaged fences,

Things are a bit rougher further north.  Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine had flooding because high tide coincided with the visit, so the storm surge pushed water over the dune.

  • SkepticTank
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  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #45
Hilton Head is also gonna be visited at high tide.

  • osmanthus
  • Administrator
  • Fingerer of piglets
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #46
"Waffle House Index" :rofl:

Quote
Waffle House - the Georgia-headquartered fast food chain which prides itself on keeping locations open even in dire conditions, has closed 25 restaurants in Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina, it announced in a tweet earlier today:

This actually has has some significance. Waffle House is so reliably open that the Federal Emergency Managemant Agency (FEMA) uses the "Waffle House Index" as an unofficial measure of calamity, Business Insider reports.

    Here's the gist of it: Waffle House restaurants notoriously stay open during natural disasters. So if the diner closes during an event, that suggests it was a really bad natural disaster with devastating effects on the economy. And on the flip side, if it stays open and serving a full menu, damage was relatively limited.

    As a historical reference point: after 2011's Hurricane Irene, 22 Waffle Houses lost power in North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware. Only one wasn't open by the Wednesday after the storm passed through -- a particularly hard hit location in coastal Virginia.

    "If you get [to a place where a disaster hit] and the Waffle House is closed? That's really bad," said FEMA administrator Craig Fugate back in 2011.
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  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #47
That's kinda awesome.

Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #48
I wonder if this means gay sex is down in florida
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • ksen
Re: 2016 hurricane season thread (belated)
Reply #49
ksen is in Melbourne, I think.
Palm Bay for now, but close enough.