insurers are suing too. according to this, they will probably win in the end, but the legal battle will be messy and take time. also, the experts don't anticipate courts would grant an injunction against trump's move in the mean time.
assuming this passes and gets signed into law, this sets up an insurance cliff in two years, at which point the democrats will have more leverage. either they will take at least one house of congress in 2018 (=> actual power), or they will remain out of power, and it will more certain that any negative developments will be blamed entirely on trump and/or the gop, heading into a presidential election year.
Nevermind, Trump just did a one-eighty on his one-eighty.http://www.bostonherald.com/news/us_politics/2017/10/trump_reverses_course_on_emerging_senate_health_care_deal
[ ... ] Repealing the mandate, a longstanding Republican goal, would save hundreds of billions of dollars over the next decade. That would free up money that is earmarked to expand middle-class tax cuts. [ ... ]
they also have shit in place to defund medicare by billions. i feel like they are a little too exuberant here and this is the kinda shit where their reach far exceeds their grasp because going after medicare sounds like a plan for getting their asses kicked.
VR -i had the same reaction at first, but that part is actually not bullshit. there are people who get subsidies and/or medicaid, but who wouldn't get health insurance without the mandate. so scrapping the mandate would get the government off the hook for some chunk of money.there's a related part of this where the bill's supporters are possibly half-right, but trying to get away with a swindle. they question the part of the cbo's model where 7 million people leave medicaid (~ half the overall increase in uninsured they project) in response to the loss of the mandate, because medicaid has no premiums - it is free insurance. therefore, whatever leads the cbo to think those people would stop getting it, it seems like a questionable assumption. I actually buy that the republicans may be right about that. it makes sense. I'm guessing most of the 7 million might cheer the end of the tyrannical mandate, but then be like "wait.... I'm getting insurance for free. why would I stop that?"here's the swindle, though: while denying those 7 million would stop getting medicaid, they are still trying to count that reduction in medicaid coverage toward their budget savings. they are trying to have it both ways.