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Topic: 2017 hurricane season (Read 4087 times) previous topic - next topic

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  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #25
Local news is predicting 1-2 feet over 3 days.

And that's bad because it takes something like 48 hours for our lakes and bayous drain out to the gulf.

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #26
Just saw an NHC discussion saying a warm eddy broke off into the path of the storm, making it intensifying into a hurricane a high probability.

We're trying to decide when to leave for Austin. Maybe tomorrow night, but maybe earlier.

It's organizing nicely in the gulf, they are predicting cat 1 hurricane sometime tomorrow headed right for rednose.

  • rednoise
  • Sludgey Southern Kitcheneer
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #27
Cat 2 or 3 possibly now.

We signed an RV storage lease this morning. Storing the trailer and heading to Austin tonight.
"Marx and myself, one has fought harder all one's life long against the alleged Socialists than against anyone else"

-Engels

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #28
Wow, that escalated quickly.

I went shopping yesterday, and thought I was ready, but if it's now a cat-3 it could be a lot worse than what I prepared for.

Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #29
I was thinking about visiting Pensacola over the holiday weekend...is that going to be a bad idea?

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #30

  • borealis
  • Administrator
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #31
Wow. Stay safe guys.

  • rednoise
  • Sludgey Southern Kitcheneer
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #32
If nothing else, I'm finally getting a couple days off instead of just one. Heading to Austin right now.
"Marx and myself, one has fought harder all one's life long against the alleged Socialists than against anyone else"

-Engels

  • ravenscape
  • Administrator
  • Triggered
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #33
Take care. :(

Really looking forward to spending September on the Florida Atlantic coast. :/

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #34
Did more shopping today, I was lucky to get out before noon. Several of my local facebook friends were only finding empty shelves this afternoon.

We're good on peanut butter, Ramen, and raviollis for at least a week.  Gotta pick up some more alcohol tomorrow.

Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #35
Do you have enough weed?
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #36
We have exactly enough for the amount we plan to consume.

Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #37
Thank god
Love is like a magic penny
 if you hold it tight you won't have any
if you give it away you'll have so many
they'll be rolling all over the floor

Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #38
Latest update from NHC:

Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
900 AM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

...9 AM CDT POSITION ESTIMATE...
...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ALONG THE TEXAS COAST...

A buoy located about 40 miles east of South Padre Island has
recently reported sustained winds of 38 mph with a gust to 47 mph.


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 95.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES


  • rednoise
  • Sludgey Southern Kitcheneer
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #39
It might land as a cat 3.
"Marx and myself, one has fought harder all one's life long against the alleged Socialists than against anyone else"

-Engels

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #40
My wife went to the store this morning, and got even more bottled water. Weird our local supermarket isn't out when everyone else seems to be.

My mom called and strongly suggested we evacuate. The worst case scenario for us is that we get water in the house.  We've had two 100-year flood events in the last two years, and both of those the street flooded enough that there was water in my yard scarily close to the foundation.  If we were to get water in the house, that would really suck.




eta:  One of those two was actually a 500-year event according to the flood gauge closest to me (there's an inch difference in creek elevation from a 100 to a 500 year event)
  • Last Edit: August 25, 2017, 08:41:29 AM by SkepticTank

  • MikeS
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #41
My wife went to the store this morning, and got even more bottled water. Weird our local supermarket isn't out when everyone else seems to be.

My mom called and strongly suggested we evacuate. The worst case scenario for us is that we get water in the house.  We've had two 100-year flood events in the last two years, and both of those the street flooded enough that there was water in my yard scarily close to the foundation.  If we were to get water in the house, that would really suck.




eta:  One of those two was actually a 500-year event according to the flood gauge closest to me (there's an inch difference in creek elevation from a 100 to a 500 year event)
Instead of watching CNN all day you might make some raised supports for your larger furniture to raise it 12" or so from the ground level.  Unless your in a flow path of drainage most of the water will be stagnant and standing but it might not rise TOO much and having your furniture dry will at least save it.  Then, when the flood passes, get out your knife and cut away the wet layers of dry wall and discard immediately to limit mold growth.

For fixed appliances like A/C, the compressor is a sealed unit and can be immersed for some time, but the fan is an open motor.  If you do start to flood you should switch off power at the mains, including all your circuit breakers too, to reduce any damage.  Then, when it's drained and dried, flip on each circuit seperately to see if it pops or not.

You can't do much for fixed cabinets except maybe sandbags and a sump pump behind them.  Also expect your sewer drain to back-up into your bath or shower, that's a path for flooding that people forget.

Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #42
Currently Cat 2

Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
300 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

...3 PM CDT POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE...

Corpus Christi Naval Air Station recently reported a sustained wind
of 53 mph (85 km/h) with a gust to 64 mph (104 km/h).

A station at Aransas Pass run by the Texas Coastal Observing
Network recently reported a sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) with
a gust to 68 mph (109 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 300 PM CDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 96.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

That pressure keeps dropping with each update, so it's definitely strengthening. 



The way this thing is gonna stall...  I can't even imagine that much rain.  We've have bad storms up here near Chicago and rivers and creeks flood, but nothing like that. 

  • MikeS
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #43
Category 3 now.  120 mph winds.

  • RAFH
  • Have a life, already.
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #44
Category 3 now.  120 mph winds.
Yikes!

Good luck, as that's about all you have left. Stay safe. Nothing out there is worth your lives trying to save.
Are we there yet?

  • SkepticTank
  • Global Moderator
  • Calmer than you are
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #45
125 now.

Very little wind here, Some rain today, but nothing that would normally be a big deal.  The rain bands pass through quickly, and then it'll be nothing for an hour or so.

Pizza is still being delivered.

  • rednoise
  • Sludgey Southern Kitcheneer
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #46
It is a hair's breadth away from cat 4.

Oh, and it's going to land a few miles from where I live. If I were there right now, I'd be able to look through the eye when it lands. There are already comparisons to Katrina being made. This is fucking terrifying.
"Marx and myself, one has fought harder all one's life long against the alleged Socialists than against anyone else"

-Engels

  • borealis
  • Administrator
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #47
It's gotten huge and powerful so fast.

  • MSG
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #48
I'm glad rednoise has come back to TR just in time to give us a firsthand account of having your life fucked over by a weather event disaster porn ftw
braying among the ruins

  • MikeS
Re: 2017 hurricane season
Reply #49
Just get receipts and claim from FEMA.  Everything including food.