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Messages - el jefe

1
neglect of the elderly is a big problem.  ockham's razor.
2
American Greatness seems to be a bunch of mindless trumpism.  they say they reject "globalism", which is the Trumpists' nonsensical lumping together of everything that isn't nationalism.
3
The Conservative Renaissance Has Begun

Go home Washington Post, you're drunk.
tbf, they're just guilty of giving a platform to this guy
Quote
Christopher Buskirk is editor and publisher of the website American Greatness and co-author, with Seth Leibsohn, of "American Greatness: How Conservatism, Inc. Missed the 2016 Election & What the D.C. Establishment Needs to Learn
4
prognosticators (who admittedly have spent the last year and a half wondering whether they really know anything) consider her a decent possible contender for a primary challenge against trump in 2020.
5
regardless of whether she's unhappy with trump this week, whenever Nikki Haley gets attention, Coulter has to piss on her.  she calls her an immigrant, even though she isn't.  Haley is however the child of immigrants and has a more "ethnic" background than she lets on.  and to Coulter and people like her that is both an "immigrant" and bad.
6
Ann Coulter calls her an immigrant in 3...  2...
7
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
I feel like US interventions in the Balkans were actually pretty successful, all said and done.
also, the first gulf war was basically a clean, positive success.  unfortunately, its results are lost in the mess bush junior created with his needless follow up.

there won't be greater nato involvement in syria than we already have, because russia thinks of their military bases there as their last major outposts beyond the old USSR and won't back down as a matter of national pride.
The first Gulf War was one nation launching an unprovoked attack on another. Intervention was limited to kicking them out and restoring the status quo. I don't see it as the same thing at all.
I didn't think it was comparable.  I'm just coming up with examples of where a US-led military intervention was constructive, in case anyone is categorically doubting that they can be.
8
yeah, but it might ebb before people vote
9
yeah but there are other polls showing the national generic ballot narrowing
10
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
I feel like US interventions in the Balkans were actually pretty successful, all said and done.
also, the first gulf war was basically a clean, positive success.  unfortunately, its results are lost in the mess bush junior created with his needless follow up.

there won't be greater nato involvement in syria than we already have, because russia thinks of their military bases there as their last major outposts beyond the old USSR and won't back down as a matter of national pride.
11
the Conclave of Talls is having a meeting to determine whether his conduct was sufficiently short in spirit to justify confiscating about 4 inches of his height
aye
12
Politics and Current Events / Re: Trumpocalypse
he got a rebound from antitrump republicans when he managed to deliver the tax cut.  and now I suspect he's getting a rebound among his core supporters - who he'd been starting to lose - because he delivered his promised trade war.
13
iirc, there's been a theory floating around for a while that the earlier crossing may even have happened at the horn of Africa rather than the sinai
14
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
am i the only one who has no idea what to make of any of this shit or any sense of which of the many bad options is solidly the least bad?
follow obama's plans.  obama is the light.
15
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
mainly I support continuing obama's mix of syria policies, which (contrary to his rhetoric) trump has continued more or less unchanged, until he said last week that he'd break them off.  I think they were more or less working and pushing things toward a sustainable truce and a non terrible negotiated settlement.  if trump recommits to supplying and supporting sdf and various smaller factions we've worked with, takes positive steps to show he's serious, and takes punitive actions over chemical weapons, all without any big or reckless changes to the program, I think that would be a good thing.  it doesn't require much involvement of trump's dumb brain, mostly just him OKing a bunch of things that already being done by other people.

ok. i'm not as strongly opposed to sub-military intervention (i.e., intervention without using our own weapons and soldiers). i'm leery of it because it still carries the risk of greater entanglements and escalation (when has funding and supporting various foreign resistance elements ever gone wrong...) but it's not on the same level of hazard to me as launching missiles. in this case, yeah help the sdf/ypg as much as possible.
and obama was acutely aware of the danger of funding and arming people we didn't vet or control and chose our proxies very carefully.  one of our initiatives - trying to create a friendly rebel army from scratch using volunteers - failed because the vetting standards were so stringent, only like a few dozen guys made it through.
16
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
"despite the acknowledged flaws in the institutions of US foreign policy and the batshit moron at the helm, we are in a unique position to make an ongoing war better by joining the fray"

this is how the minds of certain people work
I should clarify.... 

mainly I support continuing obama's mix of syria policies, which (contrary to his rhetoric) trump has continued more or less unchanged, until he said last week that he'd break them off.  I think they were more or less working and pushing things toward a sustainable truce and a non terrible negotiated settlement.  if trump recommits to supplying and supporting sdf and various smaller factions we've worked with, takes positive steps to show he's serious, and takes punitive actions over chemical weapons, all without any big or reckless changes to the program, I think that would be a good thing.  it doesn't require much involvement of trump's dumb brain, mostly just him OKing a bunch of things that already being done by other people.  Mattis has been running this mostly independently of trump, and although he's said dumb shit on fox news in years past, he seems to be a normal, competent adult when it comes to being secretary of defense.
17
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
honestly not sure I'm against this intervention.  assad is committing genocide and seems likely to continue to do so.  chemical weapon use should have some penalty, even if it's a small one.  there's a lot wrong with us and especially our leader, but we are almost uniquely positioned to do something about this.

a couple years ago, assad was weak, and things were moving (slowly and haltingly) toward a diplomatic/political settlement among non-isis actors.  since then, thanks in large part to trump signaling that we don't give a shit and trying to reduce american commitments in the middle east, assad has realized he doesn't have to make peace.  he has broken the truce with the Arab rebels and is slowly wiping them out, with russia and Iran's help.  these are the rebels who we and various other outside countries fought pretty hard to prop up at assad's expense, in the hopes that negotiations after the war would lead to a federalized democracy.  the kurds are still in good shape at the moment but that could change.

I think the case for intervention here is strong.  we're not choosing whether a war happens, it already is.  we are choosing whether to try to steer it in a less terrible direction.
18
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
tioH - it may not make an intervention "good", but at least it can make it better than an apparently unconsidered strike. And it could also be more likely to result in no intervention.

like that's fine and all, but when #TheResistance can only muster up procedural objections to launching bombs, it kinda suggests something about their larger political agenda. there's no peace party in the US government. military action is bipartisan. that's my problem here.
because war isn't real to most americans, and the world is a stage where we use other countries as props for our political theater.  take out the terrible realities of war and what's left is excitement and us vs the bad guys.
19
I wonder if the "evidence mueller has of Cohen going to prague" is just the Steele dossier, and sloppy reporting or confusion on the part of a source made it sound like corroboration.
20
Politics and Current Events / Re: Removing Assad
... Even msnbc usually gets happy and bubbly about missile strikes.
Me too
:stare:
21
the libby thing is a real head-scratcher.  why him?  why now?  especially since his sentence was already commuted.

maybe it's to "show" how supposedly corrupt the fbi and doj are?
22
Politics and Current Events / Re: Trumpocalypse
I like how the Russian have no problem using their mercenaries as cannon fodder
IIRC it was actually more of an attack on US forces by the russian mercs, and the mercs got completely rekt
still, I feel like we would be mad about our mercenaries getting killed.  US citizens can break the law in other countries and we treat them like victims when they get arrested*.  we care about all of our citizens and take care of them, even when they don't deserve it*.  the same I'm sure is true of a lot of countries.  it does stick out that the russians don't seem to care here.  though maybe there's more to it, and the russians don't want to press the issue because, e.g., it's obvious that their guys picked the fight with us, not vice versa.

*unless they are suspected of terrorism, then we extra judicially execute them
23
and/or my theory that the right's sense of "normal" has been totally warped by 8 years of obama derangement syndrome
24
I think a bunch of trump's people came in actually believing the dumb conservative narratives about DC and the federal government being all pampered and decadent, and they assumed servants would wait on them and bureaucrats would throw money at them when they arrived.  hence all these bizarre stories about cabinet members being wasteful with public resources and acting entitled.
25
I was about to post that Testy and pd are good posters